Exit polls suggest the following:
32 Bibi
17 Lapid
16 Haredim
8 Arabs
7 Bennett
7 Gantz
7 Lieberman
7 Avoda
7 Otzma
6 Left
6 Sa'ar
0 Ra'am
17 Lapid
16 Haredim
8 Arabs
7 Bennett
7 Gantz
7 Lieberman
7 Avoda
7 Otzma
6 Left
6 Sa'ar
0 Ra'am
These are good numbers for Bibi.
Bibi, plus Haredim, plus Otzma has 55 seats. This means any of the other parties can put them over the mark for a majority.
The TLDR is that this is good news for Bibi, but not great news.
Right now, I'd say the odds suggest that Bennett can be brought on board and will support Bibi in government in return for something he dearly wants.
Remember though, these are exit polls. Things can, and will, change as votes come in. As such, I will make another post tomorrow showing where things stand.
midnight edit -
Results as of 6:21am in Israel:
31 Bibi
19 Haredim
6 Otzma
56 - Core Bibi
17 Lapid
8 Gantz
7 Lieberman
7 Avoda
6 Sa'ar
45 - Core anti-Bibi
6 Arabs
7 Bennett
6 Left
0 Ra'am
~64% of ballots counted
note that the above was edited with even newer results, an hour later.
8pm update
ReplyDelete30 Bibi
18 Lapid
16 Haredim
8 Arabs
8 Gantz
7 Bennett
7 Lieberman
7 Avoda
7 Otzma
6 Left
6 Sa'ar
0 Ra'am
bibi+bennett lose a majority.