Wednesday, March 17, 2021

Dutch election, liberal surprise

Originally, I'd planned a long complex post, but, the exit poll indicates the following:

76 for majority

36 - VVD conservative liberal (GOV)
27 - D66 social liberal (GOV)
17 - PVV right populist
14 - CDA christian democrat (GOV)
9 - PvdA social democrat
8 - GL green
8 - SP democratic socialist
8 - FvD far right
5 - PvdD pro-animal
4 - CU christian democrat (GOV)
3 - Volt european federal
3 - SGP christian right
3 - JA21 trumplike
2 - DENK minority rights
1 - 50+ pro pensioner
1 - BBB pro-farmer
1 - BIJ1 egalitarian

D66 was not expected to do this well. In fact, VVD has already said they are going to form a coalition with D66 as soon as they can. They would give them a combined 63 seats, only 13 short of what is needed for a majority, something they could easily get with CDA. In short, the current government is likely to continue, if with one less partner. I will post more updates as more results come in. 

midnight edit: 

36 - VVD 
24 - D66 
17 - PVV 
15 - CDA
9 - PvdA 
9 - SP 
8 - FvD 
7 - GL 
6 - PvdD 
5 - CU 
4 - JA21 
3 - SGP 
3 - Volt 
2 - DENK 
1 - 50+ 
1 - BBB 

1 comment:

  1. Things move fast; the 3 party coalition mentioned looks set on 75 seats, one short for a majority! As such the existing 4 party coalition may continue. Will continue to update.

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