Sunday, April 28, 2019

Spain may face another election

While there are still some ballots left to count, the results appear to be as follows:





123 - PSOE - Social Democrat
68 - PP - Conservative (incl NA+)
57 - C's - Liberal
43 - Podemos - Left (incl Comp)
24 - Vox - Nationalist
15 - ERC - Left Catalonian Separatist
7 - JxCat - Right Catalonian Separatist
6 - PNV - Right Basque Regionalist
4 - EHB - Left Basque Separatist
2 - CCa-PNC - Canary Islands Regionalists
1 - PRC - Regionalists (Cantabria) 
0 - PAC - Pro-Animal Rights

This can be summed up as follows:

123 - Socialist
68 - Conservative
57 - Liberal
43 - Left
24 - Nationalist
26 - Various Separatists
9 - Various Regionalists

A coalition between the Socialists, Left, and Regionalists would be 1 seat short of a Majority, meaning any such left coalition would have to include Separatist parties. 

A coalition between the Liberals, Conservatives, and Nationalists meanwhile is quite far off the mark, being dozens of seats short. 

The Socialists and Liberals could form a majority, having 180 seats in the 350 seat assembly; but the Liberals seem unwilling to do so (however, their mind may change if another election looms) 

Another, more radical possibility, may be a grand coalition between the Socialists and Conservatives, but this is perhaps unlikely. 

As always, I will update you with more information as things progress. 

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