Wednesday, April 10, 2019

Alberta "Projection"

This will likely be the only projection I do of Alberta (unless we get a ton of polls in the last few days here) and its not a poll average; rather, its based on my gut feeling that the polls are over-estimating Jason Kenney.

Khan is likely to take his own seat. This is a change from when the election started; but he seems to be doing a well enough job at the campaign to gain a seat for himself.

The Alberta Party as well is doing well, and as such, will likely take multiple seats. Which seats remains hard to say, but these are the three that make the most sense to me at the current time.

Due to what I expect to be UCP weakness, the FCP wins a seat as does Strankman.

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