Sunday, February 9, 2020

Ireland projection, based on current tallys

Teddy's current Ireland projection, based on current tallys:
42 FF
39 FG
38 SF
11 GRN
5 LAB
4 SOL
3 SD
1 AON
1 CC (speaker)
16 IND


In Ireland they like to only report results once final, as in the UK, but they have a tally that shows the count results from most boxes (it does not report boxes with under 50 votes to protect the privacy of the voter)

Based on results, tallys, and my own ratio method applied to the seats without any tally, I've determined a basic result. Within that is a dozen seats I can't make heads or tails of; applying some basic guesstimation to that, and you get the above.

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