Just a quick post, where I'll detail polls for the coming NI election.
Previous election vs most recent poll
27.9% - 26.6% - SF
12.9% - 12.1% - UUP
11.9% - 10.5% - SDLP
9.1% - 18.2% - APNI
2.6% - 5.7% - TUV
2.3% - 2.9% - GRN
1.8% - 2.1% - PBP
I summarize this as follows:
SF, UUP, SDLP, GRN, and PBP are all, roughly, where they were last election. As such, in any quick 'rule of thumb' 'educated guesstimation' of an election prediction; you can expect them to maintain the same vote level in each constituency.
TUV and APNI are up by double. Meaning in such a guesstimation you can expect their vote total to double in each constituency.
DUP is down by a third. As such, you can guesstimate that in each constituency they will lose one third of their vote.