A lot has advanced since my previous post on Belarus, yesterday. This has moved things along at a brisk pace, but does not seem to have changed the field of play. The government still holds the advantage. The Media in general have been a bit more open than usual, but, much of the larger media players are still showing government propaganda. One of the smaller media outlets has started to report on the protests quite openly, however in a countermove, Putin has announced his support for Lukashenko.
It is likely thus that if the government of Belarus can not quiet the protests themselves, the Russians will march in and do it for them.