Friday, June 28, 2019

Denmark - Update

Elections, which took place on the 5th, have produced a new government, which is as follows:

government: 48
48 - Social Democrat (Social Democrat)

supported by: 43
16 - Social Liberal Party (Liberal)
14 - Socialist People's Party (Socialist)
13 - Red-Green Alliance (Greens)

"Gov" Subtotal: 91

opposition: 84
43 - Venstre (Christian Democrat)
16 - People's Party (Nationalist)
12 - Conservative People's Party (Conservative)
5 - The Alternative (Progressive)
4 - The New Right (Nationalist)
4 - Liberal Alliance

other: 4
4 - Faroe and Greenland Parties

"Oppo" Subtotal: 88

In the election itself, the largest movement was in the Peoples Party, which lost more than half of their seats. Both the Social Liberals and Socialists doubled their seat totals, but, this only returned them to roughly the level of support they had in 2011, whereas the Peoples Party has not been this low since the 1998 election.

Interestingly, in that election the "Progress Party" won only 4 seats, down from 11. The old Progress Party leader was, in fact, the first leader of the Peoples Party. The Progress Party was a Nationalist party, one that first ran in 1973, where they won 28 seats; in the election the leader, known as an anti-tax protester, who had a 'kooky' personality, lead the party to a second place finish. Prior to this, no nationalist party in the modern vein existed. 

Thus the largest share of seats ever won was in 2015 when the Peoples Party won 37 seats (Denmark's legislature has not changed size in the past few decades, unlike Canada) 

As to what exactly lead to this drastic sudden fall in support, I am still unclear. The best I can find is a change in immigration policy of the other parties, including the new Government, with the new Prime Minister having previously said that Islam was a barrier to integration, and accusing Muslims of not respecting the judicial system.

While the Social Democrats themselves didn't see a huge upswing in vote, it is not unreasonable to think that incoming nationalist voters simply displaced outgoing progressive ones, and this would explain the dramatic shift to the left-wing parties that polls have shown. 

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