Tuesday, July 3, 2018
Mexico - some numbers
I've calculated some numbers for the mexican election.
Morena leader Obrador has taken nearly 53% of the vote, leading his JHH alliance to victory. PAN leader Anaya has taken 22.5% leading the PMF alliance. PRI leader Meade took 16.4%, leading the TPM alliance.
JHH has taken 69 senators, and 310 deputies, a majority in both chambers.
PMF has taken 32 senators, and 126 deputies
TPM has taken 21 senators, and 64 deputies
This is all the data I can directly find, however, I've made some effort to try to break out the actual results by party. I caution, this is likely to be inaccurate as this is based on assumptions, but, I've decided to present it regardless.
SEN - DEP - Party
59 - 265 - MOR
20 - 82 - PAN
14 - 44 - PRI
6 - 28 - PT
6 - 23 - PRD
6 - 21 - MC
4 - 17 - ES
4 - 13 - GRN
3 - 17 - ALL
This means Morena has a majority on its own in the house, but, does not in the Senate. Reminder: this is based heavily on assumptions, and may simply be incorrect.
This would give Morena a minority in the Senate, but, very easy paths to a majority by allying either with their coalition partner PT, or other left-wing parties PRD and MC.