Italy election today

 right wing coalition expected to win. more later. 

small sweden update

 The sitting Social-Democrat Prime Minister has resigned, effectively signalling that the right-wing bloc around M (Moderates) has "won" the election. More as it comes. 

Sep2022 Sweden election results

24 - V - Hard Left
108 - S - Progressive
18 - MP - Green Party
24 - C - Agrarian-Liberal
16 - L - Liberal
67 - M - Centre-right
19 - KD - Social Conservative
73 - SD - Hard Right

Unclear what governments can be formed. S+M (the Socialists and the Moderate Party) would also have a majority, but by a single seat. However, the two parties seem to be talking. This would effectively be a "grand coalition" government; and, if I was leader of C (the centre party, which is agrarian-liberal) I would be trying to get in on this, in large part, because my party is between these two policy-wise, and we could not only easily slot in to such a government, but give it boosted numbers.

SD seems to have been the big "winner", but, as the more "extreme" party, its not likely they'll be in government.

However.

SD+M+L+KD technically has a majority by a single seat. SD will push hard for this option. 

My money is on S+M+C, or, another election in a few weeks/months. 

Keep in mind that an implausible V+MP+C+L+M+KD government would not have a majority; meaning either S, or SD, need to be in a government for it to have a majority. 

Lastly, note that Sweden no longer requires a majority for its governments. It is possible for a minority to take office, as has been the case for the last little while. However, like the current government, any new minority could easily 'collapse' and cause a new election.

sweden election tomorrow.

poll average; no commentary. 

29 - V - Hard Left
98 - S - Progressive
23 - MP - Green Party
26 - C - Agrarian-Liberal
21 - L - Liberal
60 - M - Centre-right
22 - KD - Social Conservative
71 - SD - Hard Right

sweden; 3 poll average

30 - V - Hard Left
101 - S - Progressive
19 - MP - Green Party
26 - C - Agrarian-Liberal
22 - L - Liberal
59 - M - Centre-right
22 - KD - Social Conservative
70 - SD - Hard Right

Election is on the 11th. 149 is needed for a majority.

Unclear what kind of coalition could be formed, but a S-V-MP coalition would have a majority; but that's perhaps not likely. 

Update! 16AUG2022

 Upcoming elections:

SEP 11 - Sweden - unclear (might not cover)

OCT 03 - Quebec - likely huge CAQ majority (might not cover)

NOV 01 - Israel - Bibi is doing well (will cover)

So yes, I'm not gone; but, as is likely clear by now, the amount I post here has gone way down.

announcement on the future of this blog

 I'll be short with this. I'm continuing to get my life in order with personal improvements. One of said improvements is to stop wasting time. In some, if not many ways, I feel some, if not most, of what I do on this blog, qualifies, as wasting time. 

The blog is not going away. I plan to continue posting for years to come. 

However, I have made the decision to stop my focus on timing. That means posts will become less often, similar to what you may have seen over the past 6 weeks. I will continue to cover events, but in a far more "short" manner. I'll still point out important things as I see them, but, will no longer feel pressure to report on an election the day after it happens with analysis. 

I am still planning on discussing the Ontario election, and will explain how taking off Del Duca's glasses directly lead to a Ford majority. But. I will not be posting that today. Or tomorrow. Perhaps not even this weekend.

I will keep you all updated on any other steps in my path to personal improvement that may impact the blog. For now, however, less frequent posts is the result.