Sunday, November 10, 2019

Spanish election, early results

counting continues, but results so far are as follows:

96% counted

120 - PSOE - social democratic - 28%
88 - PP - conservative - 21%
52 - VOX - nationalist - 15%
35 - UP - far left - 13%
10 - Cs/CS - centrist - 7%
3 - MAS/MP - centre left - 2%

7 - PNV - right wing, regionalist - (basque) - 32% (in region where it runs)
2 - CC/CCA - conservative, regionalist - (canaries) - 14%
2 - NA+ - centre right, regionalist - (basque [loal Cs+PP]) - 30%
1 - PRC - centre left, regionalist - (cantabria) - 21%
1 - TE! - local interest - (teruel province) - 27% (province only)

13 - ERC - left wing - separatist - (catalonia) - 23%
8 - JXC - right wing - separatist - (catalonia) - 14%
5 - EHB - left wing - separatist - (basque) - 17% + 19% (runs in two regions)
2 - CUP - far left - separatist - (catalonia) - 6%
1 - BNG - left wing - separatist - (galacia) - 8%

The polls, it seems, were rather accurate. Turnout at 70%

FTR, in Catalonia, PSOE took 21% // UP 14% // PP 8% // VOX 6% // CS 6% for a combined total of 55% for the non-separatist parties. Turnout of 72%, down from 77% earlier this year, up from 66% in 2016, 71% in 2015, and 65% in 2011

The left (PSOE & UP & MP) have 158 seats, while the right (PP & CS & VOX & NA+) have 152

It should be noted that 1 of MP's 3 seats is held by "Mes Compromis" which sits in alliance with MP, who won 2 seats in Madrid.

Senate results are only 27% counted, but suggest PSOE may lose its majority.


As for alternate coalitions, neither side can form a government even if all the regionalist parties back them. If CS were to sit with the left, they would need PNV and another party to obtain a majority, a coalition that could be quite unstable. The most stable coalition in terms of number of parties would be a grand coalition of PSOE & PP.


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