Sunday, September 24, 2017

German Election

Sorry for the late post, the NZ election has a way of ruining a sleep schedule.

this
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XV9mc9sOmDs&ab_channel=DWEnglish
seems to be a good english livestream.

My last minute projection is as such:

224 - CDU
131 - SPD
76 - AfD
60 - FPD
58 - LNK
49 - GRN

95% chance of a grand coalition (CDU/SPD) and 5% of a Jamaica coalition (CDU/FPD/GRN)

5 comments:

  1. german exit poll 204 CDU // 126 SPD // 85 AfD // 66 FDP // 60 GRN // 57 LNK

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    Replies
    1. Jamaica coalition prob now much more likely, if not 51%

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    2. german early projections 217 CDU // 134 SPD // 89 AfD // 70 FDP // 62 GRN // 59 LNK

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  2. Jamaica coalition is 80% likely right now, grand coalition 10%. CDU-FDP Minority 10% (would require green abstentions)

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  3. current (media network) projections // 239 CDU // 150 SPD // 94 AfD // 77 FPD // 65 GRN // 65 LNK

    ReplyDelete