Monday, October 5, 2015

Outside Chances

Given my previous post, some may ask, how well or poorly could the parties do?

NDP
Minimum - 37
Maximum - 150

CPC
Minimum - 55
Maximum - 172

LPC
Minimum - 66
Maximum - 196

BQ
Minimum - 0
Maximum - 37

GP
Minimum - 1
Maximum - 6


Of these, I figured the Bloc maximum would catch the most attention. Here is such a map. It presumes the Bloc takes 28.9% of the vote across Quebec, with the NDP in second at 27.4%







2 comments:

  1. An interesting map...can I suggest that the NDP would be caught between a rock and a hard place...a perfect victim of first past the post.

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    Replies
    1. It's still possible, but if there is even one poll today that does not match the Nanos poll's NDP drop, it could take 0.1 from the Bloc and give it to the NDP, which could well make a riding on the map change colour. There are still 14 days (depending on how you count) between now and e-day, hence, every day 1 or 2 of these ridings could change.

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