I've yet to have anyone challenge me, on the claim that I won the 2011 election, at least, among riding by riding projectionists.
Still, just in the even it happens, here is the proof:
link: http://calgarygrit.blogspot.ca/2011/05/predicting-unexpected.html
I challenge you! I had 49 misses in 2011 (also some of the numbers above there seem off):
ReplyDeletehttp://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.ca/2011/05/model-performance-comparison-with-other.html
But you did better this time. I had 70 misses.