Saturday, October 17, 2015

Tomorrow's update

A quick note. After some feedback from people, I will be changing the poll average I am using to reduce the weight of the way I expected the undecided voters to split on election day.

This will mean, almost certainly, the Liberals will lose a dozen or more seats in the next projection.

However, the Liberals remain the only party that can win.


  1. Your bottom line is the bottom line that is pretty graven in stone at this point.

    1. Actually,the Liberals only lost a very small handful of seats.