Two tales of election: Ontario

There seem to be two different tales of this election occuring at once.

One in which Doug Ford can not be trusted and people are swinging away from him to vote NDP.

One in which Doug Ford can be trusted, and is maintaining his standing among those wanting Change.

To that end, today, I present not one, but two projections. One in which Ford maintains his position, and one in which he fails to do so.

FORD HOLDS

64 P 39.27%
48 N 35.61%
12 L 21.53%

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WvTuHrZOiqcVBQ4VNWPMO03oqfPJCY1H9DGliUtsgL4/edit?usp=sharing
remember to make your own copy to make your own projections

FORD FAILS

66 N 40.88%
42 P 34.05%
16 L 21.46%

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1V9YHBfCF8VdGZAGb9H6zOUWzM13XUZMzvhzYGn0rqgI/edit?usp=sharing
different from the sheet above only in topline numbers.