Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Ontario, combined

One of the thing I like to do after elections, especially in Ontario, is compare the results to Federal results.

In order to do this I've combined the results in both Federal and Provincial ridings, treating both the 2018 and 2015 elections as though they were a single election.

Keeping the parties separate, we find the following results:

62 - Liberal Party of Canada
21 - Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario
14 - Conservative Party of Canada
14 - Ontario New Democratic Party
1 - New Democratic Party of Canada






However, if we combine the results by party we end up with the following.

61 - Tories
37 - Liberals
14 - NDP






In particular, doing it this way, leads to some very close results. Mississauga Lakeshore is won by 40 votes, Oakville by 17. The Waterloo riding is very close, with the Liberals winning 36,329 votes over the Tories at 36,291, and the NDP at 36,243.

Northern ridings, which differ from their Federal counterparts, were not compared.

Here are some popular vote figures to mull over:

Note for this, OND stands for NDP, and GPO for the Ontario Greens; Federal parties are those without the letter O. This is compared popular vote for Ontario only, both Federally and provincially, going back to 1995. All entries over 111,000 votes are recorded. GOVernment, Official Opposition, and X for Other are also indicated, as is the name of the party leader in the given election.

2,929,393 - LPC - 2015 - GOV - Trudeau
2,583,065 - LPC - 1993 - GOV - Chretien
2,457,463 - CPC - 2011 - GOV - Harper
2,324,742 - PCO - 2018 - GOV - Ford
2,294,594 - LPC - 1997 - GOV - Chretien
2,293,393 - CPC - 2015 - OO - Harper
2,292,075 - LPC - 2000 - GOV - Chretien
2,278,875 - LPC - 2004 - GOV - Martin
2,260,024 - LPC - 2006 - GOV* - Martin
2,090,001 - OLP - 2003 - GOV - McGuinty
2,020,641 - CPC - 2008 - GOV - Harper
1,985,242 - CPC - 2006 - OO* - Harper
1,978,059 - PCO - 1999 - GOV Harris, M
1,925,512 - OND - 2018 - OO - Horwath
1,870,110 - PCO - 1995 - GOV - Harris, M
1,869,271 - OLP - 2007 - GOV - McGuinty
1,862,907 - OLP - 2014 - GOV - Wynne
1,751,472 - OLP - 1999 - OO - McGuinty
1,743,241 - LPC - 2008 - OO - Dion
1,625,102 - OLP - 2011 - GOV - McGuinty
1,607,337 - CPC - 2004 - OO - Harper
1,559,181 - PCO - 2003 - OO - Eves
1,530,076 - PCO - 2011 - OO - Hudak
1,509,506 - OND - 1990 - GOV - Rae
1,506,267 - PCO - 2014 - OO - Hudak
1,417,435 - NDP - 2011 - OO - Layton
1,400,302 - LPC - 2011 - X - Ignatieff
1,398,806 - PCO - 2007 - OO - Tory
1,291,326 - OLP - 1995 - OO - McLeod
1,203,134 - OLP - 1990 - OO - Peterson
1,124,381 - LPO - 2018 - X - Wynne
1,114,576 - OND - 2014 - X - Horwath
1,100,366 - NDP - 2006 - X - Layton
1,085,916 - NDP - 2015 - X - Mulcair
1,051,209 - ALL - 2000 - OO - Day
982,065 - REF - 1993 - OO* - Manning
981,508 - OND - 2011 - X - Horwath
944,564 - PCO - 1990 - X - Harris, M
937,921 - NDP - 2008 - X - Layton
921,240 - NDP - 2004 - X - Layton
886,797 - REF - 1997 - X* - Manning
871,616 - PCC - 1997 - OO* - Charest
859,596 - PCC - 1993 - X - Campbell
854,163 - OND - 1995 - X - Rae
741,465 - OND - 2007 - X - Hampton
660,730 - OND - 2003 - X - Hampton
642,438 - PCC - 2000 - X - Clark
551,009 - OND - 1999 - X - Hampton
495,155 - NDP - 1997 - X - McDonough
409,936 - GRN - 2008 - X - May
368,709 - NDP - 2000 - X - McDonough
354,891 - GPO - 2007 - X - de Jong
291,658 - NDP - 1993 - X - McLaughlin
264,094 - GPO - 2018 - X - Schreiner
263,400 - GRN - 2006 - X - Harris, J
233,269 - GPO - 2014 - X - Schreiner
226,812 - GRN - 2004 - X - Harris, J
207,435 - GRN - 2011 - X - May
185,992 - GRN - 2015 - X - May
126,651 - GPO - 2003 - X - de Jong
126,021 - GPO - 2011 - X - Schreiner


* = Reflects the first, second, or third/fourth status of the party in terms of seats in ontario, and not total federal seats.










No comments:

Post a Comment