Note that you can see the results of this projection yourself here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WvTuHrZOiqcVBQ4VNWPMO03oqfPJCY1H9DGliUtsgL4/edit?usp=sharing and using the following numbers:
5.5 for each of the three factors
23% for the Liberals, 38% for the PC Party, and 32% for the NDP.
60 - PC
43 - NDP
21 - OLP
I've updated quite a bit of the projection's mechanics. It now properly takes Ford into account, including properly showing him winning his own riding.
Certainly seems plausible. I wonder if the Liberals would support Andrea Horwath as the two parties together would have a very slim majority although maybe it might be easier to let Ford govern for a year or two as a supply and confidence agreement would be very narrow and have little room for error (MPP misses a key vote or by-election loss).
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