Thursday, April 25, 2019

Spanish Election Projection

With the polling holiday in full swing, I've decided to release a projection based on polls from before the polling ban started:

121 - PSOE - Social Democrat
79 - PP - Conservative
50 - C's - Liberal
38 - Podemos - Left
35 - Vox - Nationalist
13 - ERC - Left Catalonian Separatist
6 - PNV - Right Basque Regionalist
4 - JxCat - Right Catalonian Separatist
3 - EHB - Left Basque Separatist
1 - PAC - Pro-Animal Rights

176 needed for majority

Some math:

159 - PSOE + Podemos
167 - PP + C's + Vox
181 - PSOE + C's

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