Saturday, January 12, 2019

Updates in Sweden and Israel.

In Israel there's been another political shakeup with Ta'al withdrawing from the Joint List. Ta'al is heavily associated with its leader, Tibi, and is seen by many as a personal vehicle of his to gain seats. Unless I'm missing something, it is unlikely Tibi will win any seats, and Joint List will take less than expected.

I may be, however, missing something, as the decision by Labour to split the Zionist Union has served them well in the polls with the party averaging only a single seat less than ZU, and with Hatnuah usually not being able to meet the threshold.


In Sweden there are reports that the Social Democrats have secured a government deal with the Greens, Liberals, and Centre Party.

If true this would create the following parliament:

167 Government
92 Alliance (Moderates and Christian Democrats)
62 Sweden Democrats (Neo-Nationalist)
28 Left Party

This would leave the government without a majority; however, in this situation it would be likely that such a deal would not have been struck without some tacit agreement from the Left Party. Governments in Sweden can be sworn in so long as a majority does not vote "no" meaning a Left Party abstention would result in this government being approved as only 154 members are either Alliance or SD.

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