The government has just lost a vote on the Brexit deal, taking only 202 votes for the deal and 432 against; meaning 634 members voted.
The are 650 members, 7 of which are Sinn Fein who do not take their seats; of the 643 remainder; the speaker traditionally does not vote, implying that of the 642 "usual voting members" 8 did not vote.
Assuming that these 8 are all paired; that puts 313 of the 317 members in the chamber. If 202 votes supported the deal this means 111 tories voting against.
News reports are saying 118, or 116, tory MPs voted against.
The number will be somewhere around that.
So.
What's next?
Its very unlikely something moves until tomorrow.
Tomorrow there will be a vote of non confidence in the commons. Its possible it will succeed, but unlikely.
As such, I will save more commentary for then. Unless there's a sudden and surprise resignation, snap election, or coup; nothing will change until tomorrow.
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