Tuesday, March 3, 2020

Israel - late results

With 97% of ballots counted, results are as follows:

36 - Likud*
32 - B&W
15 - Joint List
10 - Shas (Orthodox)*
7 - UTJ (Orthodox)*
7 - Left
7 - Yisrael Beiteinu
6 - Yamina*

The fundamental math, however, does not change, with 59 pro-bibi members, out of a needed 61 for a majority. 

This result is devastating for the left parties. Labour is down to 3 MKs, Meretz to 2, Gesher to 1, and Tair Golan, member for the Democratic Union. 

If my understanding is correct, the Joint List will see 5 Hadash MKs, 4 UAL MKs, 3 Balad MKs, and 3 Ta'al MKs. 

Contrast this with 13 seats for the Joint List in Sep 2019 and 2015, 10 seats for the arab parties in 2019 and 2006, 11 in 2013 and 2009, and 8 in 2003. Going back we get 10 (1999), 9 (96), 5, 6, and so forth (all equally small or smaller) and this is the largest win by arab parties in the history of Israel. 

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