Saturday, May 6, 2017

UK Projection Update

As well some local election results.

The Tories increased their seat share by a ratio of 1.42 as they now hold 1899 seats, and previously held 1336. Labour's ratio is 0.75, while the LibDems managed 0.91. The SNP is at 1.01 while UKIP is way down at 0.007 as they lost all but 1 seat.


  1. I question the Lib Dem gains in Cornwall. They flopped pretty badly there and it's a relatively strong Leave region.

    1. They maintained (roughly) their positioning last time, but yes, that area is targeted to lose 2 seats unless the LibDems do as I suspect and gain a point or two in the polls

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