Elections are tomorrow; my predictions are as follows:
22 - CDA (Christian Democrat)
20 - PVV (Nativist)
19 - GL (Green Left)
18 - D66 (Liberal)
15 - SP (Socialist)
10 - PvdA (Labour)
5 - CU (Social Conservative)
5 - PvdD (Pro Animal / Environmentalist)
5 - 50+ (Pensioner)
3 - SGP (Christian Right)
2 - Others (Including Pirate Party)
A coalition between VVD, CDA, and D66 is what I've been expecting for some time now. If this prediction comes true, they would have a strong minority; and, with the help of PvdA, a majority.
However, if, as I've previously said (#3) I've am also trying to correct for the number of racial-minded voters. As such, here is a prediction with that in mind:
25 - PVV (Nativist)
24 - VVD (Conservative)
20 - CDA (Christian Democrat)
19 - GL (Green Left)
17 - D66 (Liberal)
15 - SP (Socialist)
10 - PvdA (Labour)
5 - CU (Social Conservative)
5 - PvdD (Pro Animal / Environmentalist)
5 - 50+ (Pensioner)
3 - SGP (Christian Right)
2 - Others (Including Pirate Party)
This would weaken my expected coalition, but still not allow PVV to form a coalition of its own as there are enough other parties at strong enough levels to prevent it.
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